Hi,
Annual luck analysis, here is the refresher.
-Rank all the scores for each week
-Top score gets a nine, next highest an eight. Low score gets a zero.
-Add all the points for the year and divide by 9 (so the top score gets a 'guaranteed' win)
-The result is the 'expected wins' based on points scored relative to the league, per week
2011 Luck Standings, Weeks 1-11
Concannon, 8.28
Lee, 8.22
Curran, 7.50
TMac, 6.61
DFlam, 6.56
Malinn, 5.89
Brett, 3.83
Tighe, 3.61
Thompsom. 2.28
Nemo, 2.22
2011 Adjusted Standings (Actual - Projected)
DFlam, +1.44
TMac, +1.39
Thompson, +0.72
Curran, +0.50
Malinn, +0.11
Lee, -0.22
Concannon, -0.28
Tighe, -1.11
Nemo, -1.22
Brett, -1.33
Seems, for the most part, that teams made their own luck this year. A couple of interesting observations from the table, first, Tighe led the league in last place scoring performances after seven weeks. However, he no longer holds that lead as Thompson has, incredibly, finished last for four straight weeks! An incredible feat, in my opinion. Other notes...
-Concannon leads the league with five top finishes but four of those came before week 7.
-Nemo seems unlucky but these stats are lying- he has yet to crack the top half of a scoring week. This is the Madden Curse, I believe, at full play.
-The 'form table'- the standings for just the last three weeks- show Lee (21.5), TMac and Malinn (21), and Curran (20.5) to be in fine shape heading into the stretch run. Fellow contenders DFlam (12, as Cam has turned back into a rookie) and Concannon (14, as injuries pile up) are limping toward the finish.
-Brett was touted as a sleeper yesterday but Tighe has posted a 6 and a 5 in the last three weeks to indicate some possible upset-mindedness of his own.
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